But what about me?We’ve covered the beginning of what looks likely to be the 2014-2015 El Niño sever
But what about me?We’ve covered the beginning of what looks likely to be the 2014-2015 El Niño several times at The Earth Story (http://tinyurl.com/ofyaefj, http://tinyurl.com/ob7p4z9) but aside from it just being a curiosity, pretty much everyone in the world can ask an important question: “What does this mean for me?”.This plot, released by IRI/NOAA, is a first-order, average answer to that question. The big El Niño pattern of warm waters and rainy weather (green) off the coast of South America and a dry year in the regions that rely on the monsoon for rainfall (brown) dominates the image, but the effects are global.A couple caveats need stressed: first, these are averages for El Niño. Just because an average year gets wetter or drier doesn’t mean that any specific location will follow the average. This is a good guideline but it’s not a weather forecast for this September.Secondly, if this year is an unusually intense El Niño, which is possible, some of these locations may shift around as they’re calibrated on average years. Marked locations may get more intense dry/wet phases as well, but again, nothing is guaranteed.Finally, note that the effects aren’t consistent from month to month; some effects move around as the seasons shift on top of the El Niño pattern.-JBBImage credit: IRI/NOAAhttp://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/how-enso-leads-cascade-global-impacts -- source link
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