Here we go, time for the final round of these: 4for4.info’s Olympic women’s artistic gymnastics even
Here we go, time for the final round of these: 4for4.info’s Olympic women’s artistic gymnastics event finals predictions.The randomness cooked into the model has more of an effect in event finals. When it comes down to a single routine or a couple runs toward the vault table, the margin for error is small and chaos reigns supreme. But it functions the same way, simulating the competition 20,000 times, generating results based on the finalists’ scoring history, with recent results given more weight.So that’s why you have Kocian the slight favorite in the bars final. She outscored Mustafina (barely) and then they tied through the two phases of Olympic competition they’ve competed in together so far. She’s also been much more consistent this year, which is a quality the model rewards. That’s probably what pulled Hernandez slightly ahead of Biles as the most likely for gold the beam final.And I cooked a little more randomness into vault because I – and apparently more than a few of you – are anticipating some rabbits to be pulled out of bags. (Giulia has already confirmed she will not be going for the FHS 2/1, though. After all this hype, it could end up being the most tame, predictable final of them all.) I would also like to personally thank the judges at the Mersin World Cup for judging Chuso’s Prod like she had actually landed it properly, because now that hypothetical is already represented in the data. Who isn’t rooting for her to pull that one out? -- source link
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